Wednesday, March 2, 2016

Climate Change


Overview: Our planet is warming at an alarming rate. Indeed, 2015 was the hottest year ever, surpassing the previous record set just a year earlier, according to NASA and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. There is overwhelming worldwide consensus among climate scientists that:

·      the climate is undergoing a pronounced warming trend beyond the range of natural variability; 
·      the major cause of most of the observed warming is rising levels of the greenhouse gas CO2; 
·      the rise in CO2 is the result of burning fossil fuels;
·      and failure to drastically reduce CO2 emissions “would lock the planet into a future of catastrophic impacts, including rising sea levels, more devastating floods and droughts, widespread food and water shortages and more powerful storms,” according to the New York Times.

The world has made a variety of unsuccessful attempts to address this crisis, including the 1997 Kyoto Protocol and the 2009 Copenhagen Accord. While these agreements established a global consensus that countries should reduce CO2 emissions and even compensate poor nations disproportionately harmed by climate change, the emission reduction targets were either insufficient or non-binding. In other words, these agreements did not do enough to combat climate change.

In December, 2015, world leaders came to a new agreement in Paris, France. The Paris agreement is noteworthy because for the first time, participating nations sought to hold temperature increases “well below 2 degrees Celsius” and recognized a more ambitious target of 1.5 decrees Celsius. To reach this goal, the Paris Agreement requires countries to regularly take stock of their carbon emissions and set ambitious targets for further reductions. It also calls upon countries to collectively contribute at least $100 billion dollars a year to help other countries, especially poor nations, adapt to the impacts of climate change.

However, the Paris Agreement is not legally binding, essentially allowing any of the 189 signatory countries to break its promises without consequences. The initial targets set by individual countries are also inadequate for keeping global temperature increases below the official goal of 1.5 degrees Celsius. As such, we are still on a path toward global catastrophe.

The question:
Given the gap between the lofty goals of the Paris Agreement and the modest hard numbers that countries have actually committed to, should the Eurasian Conference…

-Require all countries to meet emission reduction targets consistent with a 1.5 degrees Celsius increase in global temperatures;

-require all countries to pay a share into the $100 billion per year climate adaptation fund that is proportional to their share of world income, as measured in Gross Domestic Product (GDP);

and

-punish countries who fail to meet their commitments with economic sanctions equal to 1% of their GDP?